17. Of All of History’s Tragic Natural Disasters, None Were Deadlier Than the 1931 Central China Floods
The 1887 Yellow River Flood was just as deadly as it was tragic. However, even with its estimated 900,000 fatalities, the 1887 Yellow River Flood was “only” history’s second deadliest natural disaster. Its death toll was eclipsed by yet another tragic Chinese riverine calamity: the 1931 Central China Flood.
That year, the Yangtze and Huai rivers experienced disastrous flooding that submerged about 70,000 square miles. That is an area as big as England, plus half of Scotland tossed in. 53 million people were impacted, and up to 4 million were killed in the catastrophe.
16. A Tragic Coming Together of Unusual Weather Phenomena at the Worst Possible Time
The 1931 Central China Flooding, history’s worst natural disaster, was caused by a perfect storm of extreme weather phenomenon, all coming together at the worst possible time. It began with a severe drought that hit China from 1928 to 1930. That was followed by an exceptionally severe winter in 1930. It deposited unusually massive amounts of snow and ice in the mountainous areas upstream from the Yangtze and Huai rivers.
In the early spring of 1931, all that snow and ice melted, and flowed downstream into the Yangtze and Huai rivers. It reached the middle Yangtze just as the region was experiencing exceptionally heavy spring rains. Things were made worse still by an unusually high number of cyclones. On average, the region experiences two cyclones a year. In 1931, it was hit by nine cyclones. All of those factors came together to cause a catastrophe.
15. The 1931 Central China Flooding Was a Catastrophe That Killed Millions
Things took a turn for the horrific in central China in 1931. Between snow and ice melt, heavy rains, and a seemingly ceaseless sequence of cyclones, the Yangtze and Huai rivers underwent disastrous flooding. Downstream, the waters rose nearly 6 feet above the Shanghai Bund – the waterfront area in the city’s center. Upstream, in the region of Wuhan, the water level rose an incredible 53 feet above the yearly average. Significant but relatively less disastrous flooding also occurred in the Yellow River basin and along China’s Grand Canal.
Farmlands and housing along the rivers were devastated. 15% of the rice and wheat crops were destroyed, in a country that had little margin to spare. 53 million people were impacted, and casualties were enormous. About 150,000 people were directly drowned, while millions more died from starvation and in the subsequent diseases and epidemics. All in all, up to 4 million people perished, making the 1931 China Floods history’s deadliest natural disaster.
Deadly as history’s worst floods were, their death toll pales in comparison to the lethality of plagues. Ask most people to name a plague, and the first one that usually comes to mind is the Black Death, history’s most tragic and famous pandemic. Also known by a variety of other names, such as the Great Mortality, the Great Bubonic Plague, the Great Plague, or just plain The Plague, the Black Death ravaged Eurasia in the mid-fourteenth century.
The Black Death peaked in Europe from 1347 to 1351 and killed one-third to two-thirds of Europeans. It took 200 years for the continent’s population to bounce back to pre-plague levels. In some parts of Europe, such as Florence, it took 500 years for the population to return to what it had been before the Black Death. In Eurasia, an estimated 75 million to 250 million people perished in the plague, making the Black Death history’s deadliest pandemic.
Yersinia pestis, a bacterium with no spores, has been fingered by modern research and scholarship as the culprit responsible for the tragic disaster that was the Black Death. According to genetic analysis, a strain of Yersinia pestis that emerged during the Black Death caused that plague. However, it did not die off at the end of that pandemic. Instead, it has lingered around ever since, mutating and reemerging periodically to cause further illnesses and plague outbreaks.
The most recent major outbreak, known as the Modern Plague or the Third Pandemic, erupted in China in the mid-nineteenth century. It was carried by rats aboard steamships all over the world, and killed an estimated 10 million people.
12. The Black Death’s Tragic Origins Trace Back to Thousands of Years Before it Struck
The tragic pandemic that came to be known as the Black Death first appeared in Mongol-ruled China and Central Asia in the 1330s. Traveling along the Silk Road with merchants and Mongol armies, the disease took about fifteen years to reach Europe in 1347. However, although the plague itself first erupted in China, the culprit bacteria might have originated in Europe, thousands of years earlier.
In 2018, researchers found evidence of Yersinia pestis in a Swedish tomb dating back to 3000 BC. It may have caused a devastating plague thousands of years ago that led to the Neolithic Decline three millennia before Christ, when Europe’s population took a nosedive. It also caused Justinian’s Plague, a sixth-century pandemic that, as seen further down this list, rivaled the Black Death in lethality and devastation.
11. The Mongols Catapulted Plague-Infected Bodies Into a Besieged City
The Black Death first reached Europe because of a siege in the then-distant Crimean Peninsula in the Black Sea. All sieges are tragic for the besieged inhabitants, but this one was even more so, with tragic consequences not just for the people besieged, but for many more people far away. In 1346, the Mongols besieged Caffa, now Feodosiya, in the Crimea. In an era of poor sanitation and medical knowledge, sieges were often as deadly for the besiegers as the besieged, because the armies encamped around the targeted city often came down with illnesses.
That happened during the Mongol Siege of Caffa, and the illness the besiegers came down with was the Black Death. The Mongol commander, Jani Beg, decided to share the misery by catapulting plague-infected corpses over the walls into Caffa, to infect the inhabitants. Some Genoese traders in the city fled, and carried the plague with them to Mediterranean ports. They arrived in Sicily in 1347, which they infected. From there, the Black Death spread north to the Italian mainland, and thence swiftly to the rest of Europe.
When the Black Death hit Europe and the Mediterranean, it spread swiftly, carried by fleas that fed on rats, and jumped from rats to humans, infecting them with Yersinia pestis. The Genoese traders who had carried the plague with them when they fled from Caffa stopped in Constantinople along the way. In tragic fashion, they gifted it and the rump Byzantine Empire with the pandemic before they continued on to Sicily.
From Sicily in 1347, the plague quickly reached the islands of Sardinia and Corsica, plus Naples in Italy, that same year. The following year, it spread to the rest of mainland Italy, France, two-thirds of the Iberian Peninsula, southern England, the Balkans, Egypt, Anatolia, and the Eastern Mediterranean. In 1349, the Black Death arrived in Germany and Central Europe, most of Ireland, plus the rest of England, the Middle East, and North Africa. In 1350, Scotland, Scandinavia, and the Baltic shores were hit. By 1351, the plague had ravaged all of Europe, except for a relatively unaffected pocket in Poland, plus western Belarus and Ukraine.
9. Dying of the Black Death Was Not Just Tragic, but Gruesome and Painful as Well
The Black Death was a terrible way to go. Especially its most common form, the Bubonic Plague, which was named after the buboes, or swellings, that marked its victims. Painful swellings, or buboes, first appeared in the groin and armpits, where plague-infested fleas gravitated. The first swellings usually occurred near the site of the initial infection, caused by the flea’s bite, or by the victim’s scratching of the bite site. From there, the buboes spread to the rest of the body.
Then came a high fever, and the vomiting of blood. Muscle cramps, chills, decomposing skin, and severe seizures, were also among the plague’s symptoms. Burning up with a steadily worsening fever, the victims tossed and turned in the throes of agonized delirium. If the victim lasted for more than a few days, he or she might get to experience the plague’s final ravages: gangrene eating away at the extremities, blackening fingers, toes, lips, and nose tip. Few lasted more than a few days, with some dying within half a day of the appearance of the first symptoms.
The most common, tragic, and painful, form of the Black Death was the bubonic plague. However, the pandemic had two other deadly strains: the septicemic and pneumonic plagues. The differences were in the affected body parts. The bubonic plague hit the lymph nodes, the pneumonic targeted the lungs, while the septicemic infected the blood.
The septicemic plague was a blood infection that caused clotting in the veins. Victims suffered from abdominal pains, bleeding under the skin, blood pouring out of all orifices, vomiting of blood, fever, shortness of breath, and gangrene. The pneumonic plague struck the lungs, causing symptoms such as chest pains, shortness of breath, coughs, headaches, and high fevers. It could follow an initial bubonic or septicemic plague infection, killing those lucky enough to have survived one of the other Black Death varieties, only for their luck to run out when they came down with the pneumonic plague. It could also be caught from airborne particles exhaled by infected humans or cats.
7. The Black Death Kept Coming Back, In Tragic Wave After Tragic Wave
The Black Death had mostly burned itself out by 1352, and the worst was over. However, there would be tragic recurrences, and in subsequent decades, the Yersinia pestis would return time and time again, to wreak more havoc. New outbreaks flared up in 1361 to 1363, 1369 to 1371, 1374 to 1375, 1390, and 1400. None of the recurrences were as deadly as the original mid-century one, but they were still pretty bad: each time they hit, they killed about 10% to 20% of the population.
A death toll of 10% to 20% every few years for half a century adds up. During the second half of the fourteenth century, the plague was introduced and reintroduced to Europe numerous times, arriving along the trade routes from China and Central Asia in multiple waves. Modern research suggests that climate fluctuations played a key role in those recurrences, as they affected populations of rats and other rodents infested with the plague-carrying fleas.
6. The Black Death’s Ebb and Flow Was Greatly Impacted by the Weather
Weather fluctuations in the fourteenth century played a key role in the Black Death’s recurrences. Yersinia pestis, thrives on fleas that are usually hosted by ground rodents such as marmots – which don’t mingle with humans. However, bouts of bad weather in the 1300s struck those rodents’ habitats and decimated their populations. So their plague-infected fleas fled to alternate hosts such as rats – which do thrive amidst human populations.
A tragic cycle developed, driven by weather fluctuations. Bad weather kills off the usual rodents – which don’t live amongst humans – that host the fleas that host Yersinia pestis. So the fleas flee to rodents like rats that live among humans. Then a Black Death outbreak ensues. While killing humans, the infected fleas also wipe out their rat hosts, extinguishing the plague. Ten or fifteen years later, bad weather again decimates the usual rodents that typically host the plague-infected fleas. The fleas flee to rats, whose populations by then have recovered. The rats reintroduce the flea plagues to humans, and another Black Death outbreak occurs, lasting until the rats die off.
5. People Eventually Adapted to the Tragic Consequences of History’s Greatest Plague
Take the experience of the world’s reaction to Covid-19, and multiply it many times over, to get an idea of how contemporaries felt about and reacted to the Black Death. The shock of a plague that wiped out up to two-thirds of the population – which is what the Black Death did – was great, to say the least. The economy contracted sharply, as trade came to a standstill, and wars came to a halt. However, people are adaptable, and adapt to the tragic just as they adapt to everything else.
Medieval people soon adjusted to the Black Death, grew accustomed to the plague, and took its frequent recurrences in stride. The immediate reaction to the first and deadliest wave was only temporary: the dead died, but life went on for the survivors. Within a few years, trade had resumed, the economy picked up, and the survivors went back to waging wars and settling their disputes and differences by killing each other.
4. The Tragic Events of the Black Death Shaped the World
The Black Death’s longer-term consequences revolved around the sudden impact of a significantly reduced population. In many parts of Europe, the land under cultivation shrank because many serfs and laborers had died. However, that often led to an increase in productivity in the land that was cultivated. With more land available than could be cultivated, people focused on cultivating the best agricultural lands, abandoning more marginal lands or turning them into pastures.
The shortage of labor was great new for surviving laborers. Faced with a labor scarcity, landowners and employers had to compete for workers by offering them better wages and working conditions. Those changes brought new fluidity to a stratified society. The land economy survived, but was weakened, as a new money economy – which ultimately replaced it – emerged. Psychologically, the shock of the Black Death caused more people to ask more questions to which the Catholic Church had few answers. That served to speed up and fuel the budding Renaissance. The world would never be the same.
3. Before the Black Death, There Was Justinian’s Plague
The Black Death was history’s deadliest plague. Tragic and lethal as it was, Justinian’s Plague, 541 – 542 AD, gives it a run for its money in deadliness and long-lasting consequences. It was named after the Byzantine Emperor Justinian I, during whose reign it occurred – and who came down with it, but survived. Justinian’s Plague is history’s first known recorded pandemic, because it swept across three continents, Europe, Asia, and Africa.
Like the Black Death, Justinian’s Plague was caused by the Yersinia pestis bacterium. Also like the Black Death, Justinian’s Plague struck with a devastating initial outbreak, followed by several recurrences in succeeding years. By the time the last recurrence ended, Justinian’s Plague had killed an estimated 25 million to 100 million people.
2. Black Rats Carried the Plague Across the World of Late Antiquity
The strain of Yersinia pestis bacterium responsible for Justinian’s Plague originated near Central Asia, near the border between modern China and Kyrgyzstan. Like the Black Death, Justinian’s Plague was mainly bubonic, felling its victims with all the bubonic plague’s tragic horrors. It first struck China and northern India, made its way via trade routes to the Great Lakes region of Africa, then down the Nile to Egypt.
Like the Black Death, Justinian’s Plague was transmitted by infected fleas carried by black rats. Egypt was the Byzantine Empire’s granary, and from its seaports, ships laden with grain – and also rats hosting infected fleas – sailed across the Mediterranean. From Egypt, the plague rapidly spread to the rest of the Middle East, the Eastern Mediterranean, and Constantinople, which served as both capital and commercial center for the Byzantine Empire. From Constantinople, the plague swiftly spread through the rest of Europe.
1. Justinian’s Plague Ended the Classical Age, and Kick Started the Feudal Era
Justinian’s Plague hit Europe hard: an estimated 40% to 50% of the continent’s population perished during the pandemic’s tragic course and aftermath. However, not all parts of Europe were equally hard-hit. The plague followed the established trade routes, so ports and cities got the worst of it. By contrast, the countryside and the parts of Europe of the established trade routes got off relatively lightly.
That uneven death toll, heavy in the cities and relatively light in the countryside, transitioned Europe out of what was left of the Classical Age, and ushered in the Feudal Era. The Classical Age had been marked by a significant urban culture. Justinian’s Plague – on top of Justinian’s many wars – put paid to that, devastating the cities and an economy built around sustaining urban life. The center of power shifted from the cities to the countryside, and rural strongmen emerged as the founders of feudalism. One era and way of life ended, and another one began.
Where Did We Find This Stuff? Some Sources and Further Reading